Biden for President put out its preliminary game plan map showing Texas as a Battleground State in November. Biden does not need to win Texas to get to 270. The same is not true for Trump. There is almost no path to an electoral college win for the Reality TV Show Joke of a President if he loses Texas.
Red doubts that Texas is really in play. But if Trump has to divert resources early in the game to Texas, then he is weaker everywhere else where the fight is on.
Right now Red’s best prediction from the map above is:
Biden wins Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, N. Carolina, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Virginia.
Trump wins Georgia, Ohio, Texas and Wisconsin.
Maine gets split.
Red is probably wrong about N. Carolina and possibly Iowa.
Current polling indicates that the Lone Star State is in play for November. As reported by the Dallas Morning News – not exactly a bastion of left-wing reporting – Trumph – the Insult Comic President and Joe Biden are in a statistical deadheat.
A new Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler poll shows that Trump and Biden are backed by 43% of poll respondents, with 5% opting for “other” candidates and only 9% undecided. Trump’s overall approval rating was 45%.
Red really will have to engage in some willing suspension of disbelief before he buys into the notion that Uncle Joe has a chance to carry Texas. But if that well-below 50% approval rating holds, Trump’s reality TV show joke of a Presidency is in serious trouble. If this polling is accurate and holds through the summer, then Trump absolutely must divert some of his massive campaign war chest to Texas – a state he must win to prevail in 2020. The result will be less time and resources to devote to the other “Battleground States” that are also critical to Trump being able to stay in office and out of the pokey.
Sen. Ted Cruz (TP – Texas) took a tasteless and crude swipe at Joe Biden at a GOP function in Michigan mere days after Biden lost his son to cancer. Cruz was reported to have attempted an old joke in a speech.
“Joe Biden. You know the nice thing? You don’t need a punch line. I promise you it works. The next party you’re at, just walk up to someone and say, ‘Vice President Joe Biden and just close your mouth. They will crack up laughing.”
Cruz then went on to make fun of Biden’s comments about defending himself against intruders with a double-barrel shotgun.
Ted Cruz. You know the nice thing? Synonymous with asshole. Try it at a party sometime. I promise you, the person will punch you in the face.